Taiwan, and the South China Sea
A Selected Annotated Bibliography
Prepared by Adil Husain
South China Sea WWW Virtual Library
Ralph. Security Implications of Conflict in the South China Sea: Exploring Potential
Triggers of Conflict. PacNet Newsletter #16. April 17, 1998. Potential
triggers include exploration or exploitation activity, creeping occupation,
armed displacement, armed enforcement, accidents or miscalculations, and other
acts of provocation. Conflict scenarios are examined and recommendations are
given to reduce the prospect of conflict. Possible confidence building measures
Cossa, Ralph, and Eun Jung Cahill Che, Eds. Long-Term Visions of Regional Security: A U.S.-China Strategic Dialogue. Pacific Forum, CSIS, PacNet 21, May 26, 2000. A comprehensive discussion of Chinese-U.S relations in the post-Cold War era, including contentious aspects of "Managing Differing Views on Taiwan."
Zalmay. Sweet and Sour: Recipe for a New China Policy.
1999. Neither a policy of containment, nor that of engagement will serve U.S.
interests towards China. A new, blended strategy, of "congagement" should be
Martin. Conflict in the Taiwan Strait: The American Response. February
2000.Under most conditions, the United States will intervene militarily to prevent
the PRC from defeating Taiwan. Tables are provided to show possible scenarios
and actions taken by Taiwan, and the PRC and American response to each scenario.
Mastel, Greg. Ties That Will Bind China, Taiwan. LA Times, May 28, 2000. While economic ties between China and Taiwan are increasing, China continues to criticize any indications by Taiwanese leaders that Taiwan may seek independent status.
Michael. China and the South China Sea. This Center for Naval Analysis
Conference Summary reports that China is upgrading its military capability in
the South China Sea vis-à-vis other claimants. The U.S. must challenge
the growth of Chinese power in the region.
Nolt, James. The China-Taiwan Military Balance. January 2000. Published in Winston L. Yang and Deborah A. Brown, eds, Across the Taiwan Strait: Exchanges, Conflicts and Negotiations (Center for Asian Studies, St. John's University, New York, 1999), pp. 181-219. While China is acquiring greater military capability in absolute terms, it is actually becoming weaker militarily relative to Taiwan and all of its other potential rivals except Russia.
Dennis. Tension in the Taiwan Strait. Dept. of National Security
Affairs, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey. March 2000. Roy discusses the
PRC's motivations for threatening Taiwan, the potential impact of economic interchange
across the Strait on Taiwan's security, the possible forms a PRC-Taiwan conflict
might take, the role the USA plays in Taiwan's security, and approaches to alleviating
the PRC threat to Taiwan.
Gerald. The Myth of Chinese Power: It's time to see China for what it is.
Newsweek International, Sep. 20, 1999. On the eve of its 50th anniversary,
Segal contends the PRC is neither as militarily powerful, nor as economically
important as believed. China has a long way to go before it can challenge the
West, or its neighbors in any substantial way.
Adil Husain was a Fellow at the Ron Brown Center for Politics and Commercial Diplomacy in Washington, D.C., when this he prepared this bibliography. He has now graduated with a Political Science major from Middlebury College.