Personal Bibliography

Books and Monographs

Crisis Behavior and Learning in Recurring Crises: The Soviet-American, Egyptian-Israeli, and Indo-Pakistani Rivalries. (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 2000). Interstate Crisis Behavior, 1816-1980: Realism vs. Reciprocity. Cambridge University Press, 1993. Behavioral Correlates of War Data: User's Manual. Ann Arbor, MI: Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research, 1993.

Articles in Professional Journals and Anthologies

"Escalation: Crisis Behavior and War," In John A. Vasquez (ed.). What Do We Know about War? (Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2000: 235-258. "Cumulation in Q.I.P.: 25 Years After Ojai," Conflict Management and Peace Science, 17:133-148 (Fall,1999). "Reducing Intergang Violence: Norms from the Interstate System," (with Errol Henderson). Peace and Change, 24 (October, 1999): 476-504. "Reciprocity in Recurring Crises," International Negotiation, 3 (1998):197- 226. "Sovereignty, Self-Determination, and Stability in the Contemporary Interstate System," In M. Kraus, and R. Liebowitz, eds. Russia and Eastern European After Communism: The Search for New Political, Economic, and Security Systems (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1996.) "Interstate Crisis Escalation and War," In The Dynamics of Aggression: Biological and Social Processes in Dyads and Groups. Michael Potegal and John F. Knutson, eds. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum Associates, 1994. "Influence Techniques in Militarized Crises," in Reconstructing Realpolitik, Paul Diehl and Frank Wayman (eds.). Ann Arbor, MI: Univ. of Michigan Press, 1994. "Automated and Machine-Assisted Coding of Event Data: The BCOW Approach," In International Event-Data Developments: DDIR Phase II. R. L. Merritt, R. G. Mancaster, and D. A. Zinnes, eds. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1993. "Influence Techniques Among Nations," In Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War, vol. 4. Philip E. Tetlock et. al., eds. New York: Oxford University Press , 1993. "Reciprocating Influence Strategies and Success in Interstate Crisis Bargaining," Journal of Conflict Resolution , 37 (March, 1993): 3-41. "International Conflict Negotiation: Contributions from Political Science," In Handbook of Negotiation: Research on Negotiation in Organizations, Vol. 3. M. H. Bazerman, R. J. Lewicki, and B. H. Shepard, eds. London: JAI Press, 1991. "One Small Step, One Giant Leap: Strategy Selection in Militarized Disputes," in Charles S. Gochman and A. Sabrosky (eds.). Prisoners of War: Nation-States in the Modern Era. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1990. (With Richard A. Stoll). "Militarized Disputes, Incidents, and Crises: Identification and Classification," International Interactions, 14 (1988):157-163. "Militarized Interstate Crises: The BCOW Typology and Its Applications." International Studies Quarterly, 32. June, 1988. (With J. David Singer). Reprinted in Singer, J. D. and Diehl (eds) Measuring the Correlates of War. Ann Arbor, MI: Univ. of Michigan Press, 1991. "Crisis Learning Games." American Political Science Review, 82 (March, 1988):179-94 . "Structure and Action in Crisis Bargaining," in New Directions in the Comparative Study of Foreign Policy, C. Hermann, C. Kegley, and J. Rosenau (eds.). Winchester, MA: Allen and Unwin, 1987. "Realism and Crisis Bargaining: A Report on Five Empirical Studies," in Evaluating U.S. Foreign Policy, J. Vasquez (ed.). New York: Praeger, 1986: 39-59. "A Fresh START: The Point Count Plan for Arms Reduction," in Nuclear Strategy and World Security, J. Rotblatt and S. Hellman (eds.), New York: Macmillan, 1985. "Reagan and the Russians: Crisis Bargaining Beliefs and the Historical Record," American Political Science Review 78 (June, 1984):338-355. Reprinted in Small, M. and J.D. Singer (eds.), International War: An Anthology and Study Guide. Homewood, Illinois: Dorsey Press, 1985. "When Will They Ever Learn? Coercive Bargaining in Recurrent Crises," Journal of Conflict Resolution 27:3 (September, 1983):379-419. Reprinted in Vasquez, J. A. and Henehan, M.T. (eds.), Introductory Reader on the Scientific Study of War. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1990. "Realpolitik and the Road to War: An Analysis of Attributes and Behavior, International Studies Quarterly 27:1 (March, 1983):97-120. (With Charles S. Gochman) "Comparing Two Studies of Crisis Bargaining: Confrontation, Coercion, and Reciprocity," Journal of Conflict Resolution 26:4 (December, 1982):571-591. (With Stephen G. Walker) "Dangerous Disputes: A Study of Conflict Behavior and War," American Journal of Political Science 26:4 November, 1982):664-87. (With Charles S. Gochman) "Strategies of Influence in Interstate Conflict: An Examination of the Realist Prescription," In Correlates of War II. J.D. Singer (ed.). New York: Free Press, 1980:124-160. "Influence Strategies, Success, and War," Journal of Conflict Resolution 23:4 (December, 1979):655-684. (With Hugh Wheeler). Reprinted in Lopez, G. and Stoll, M. (eds.), Theory, Policies, and Practice in International Relations. Congressional Quarterly Press, 1988. "The Diplomatic Historian Versus the Journalist," In Measuring International Behavior: Public Sources, Events, Validity, D. Munton (ed.). Halifax, N.S.: Dalhousie University Press, 1979. "Event Data Validity: Comparing Coding Schemes," In Measuring International Behavior: Public Sources, Events, Validity, D. Munton (ed.). Halifax, N.S.: Dalhousie University Press, 1979. "Toward a Multitheoretical Typology of International Behavior," In Mathematical Approaches to International Relations, M. Bunge, J. Galtung, and M. Maltiza (eds.). Bucharest: Roumanian Academy of Social and Political Sciences, 1977. (With J. D. Singer) "Keeping the Faith in Quantitative I.R.: A Review Article," In Armed Forces and Society 4:1 (November, 1977). "Environmental Fertility and Cumulative Growth," In In Search of Global Patterns, J.N. Rosenau (ed.). New York: Free Press, 1976. "The Future of Events Data Marriages: A Question of Compatibility," International Interactions 2 (Spring,1975). "Behavioral Indicators of War Proneness in Bilateral Conflicts," International Yearbook of Foreign Policy Studies, P. McGowan (ed.), Beverly Hills, CA: Sage Publications, 1974. (With Robert Goodsell). Reprinted in Explaining War: Selected Papers from the Correlates of War Project, J.D. Singer (ed.), Beverly Hills, CA: Sage Publications, 1979.