Outline
Problem

Self Test

LECTURE NOTES ON

SUPPLY AND DEMAND ANALYSIS

 



(These notes were prepared for a lecture delivered at the National Economics University in Hanoi, Viet Nam.)



Introduction


 

A. Application to macroeconomics.


1. Aggregate Supply and Demand


2. Supply and Demand for Labor


3. Supply and Demand for Money and Bonds


4. Supply and Demand for Imports and Exports


5. Supply and Demand for Foreign Currencies


 

B. Objectives


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

C. Five topics to be addressed in the lecture


 


 


 


 


 


I. Demand


(B 3-2, 3-3, 3-4)


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


QD = f (P)


B. The "Law of Demand" states:


 


or


 


 


 


 


2. The substitution effect states that:


 


3. The income effect states that:


 

C. "Demand" refers to the entire relationship between price (P) and the quantity demanded (QD).


 


or


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


(e.g. price QD

1 60

2 30

3 20

4 15

5 12

6 10


 


or


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


****************************************************************

A shift of the Demand curve


(B 3-5)


 


1. A change in demand can be illustrated by:


a. A change in the parameters of the equation


b. New entries in the demand schedule


 


 


C. Some factors that can cause a change in demand are:


 


2. A change in consumer's incomes


3. A change in expected future prices (and incomes)


4. A change in the number of consumers


5. A change in consumer's preferences (tastes)


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


ii. e.g. taxi fares and demand for cyclo rides


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


a. (e.g. motor scooters), (taxi rides)


 


a. (e.g. bicycles), (cyclo rides)


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Price Ba A Ba B Mkt. D


11,000 10 8 18

22,000 4 2 6

33,000 2 0 2



 


 


Price Ba A Ba B Ba C Mkt. D


11,000 10 8 6 24

22,000 4 2 3 9

33,000 2 0 1 3


 


1. Can be an increase


a. e.g. in US wine, jogging suits, rap music

b. e.g. in VN BaBaBa Beer vs. Tiger Beer


c. e.g. video rentals in Ha Noi


2. Can be decrease


 


b. e.g. the "Piano" restaurant and bar on Hang Vai


****


 


1. a change in the quantity demanded (QD) and


 


II. Supply


(B 3-3, 3-3, 3-6, 3-7)


 


 


 


 


 


or


 


 


 


 


 


 


or


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


(e.g. price QS


1 15

2 30

3 45

4 60

5 75

6 90


 


or


 


 


 


 


 


******************************************************************

A Shift of the Supply curve

(B 3-5)


 


 


 


 


a. a change in supply.


 


1. A change in supply can be illustrated by:


a. A change in the parameters of the equation


b. New entries in the supply schedule


 


 


 


C. Some factors that can cause a change in supply are:


 


2. A change in the prices of related goods


3. a change in expected future prices


4. A change in the number of suppliers


5. A change in the technology of production


6. A change in government subsidies or taxes


 


 


 


 


 


3. A decrease in factor prices will increase supply.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 



 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


(sell now - draw down inventories)


 


 


 


 


 


 


a. e.g. tomato vendors


 


Price Ba A Ba B Mkt. S


11,000 10 8 18

22,000 30 20 50

33,000 35 25 60



 


 


 


Price Ba A Ba B Ba C Mkt. S


11,000 10 8 6 24

22,000 30 20 30 80

33,000 35 25 40 100



 


 


 


 


 


I. Government taxes and subsidies


 


 


 


 


***


 


 


 


III. Price Determination


(B 3-3)


 


 


 


 


*****************************************************************

Finding the equilibrium price


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 


*****************************************************************

The Stability of equilibrium


 


 


 


 


 


 


1. The First Law


 


 


 


 


Back to the Beginning

2. Second Law

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 


C. The effects of a disequilibrium price:


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


IV. Predicting Changes in Prices and Quantities


 


 


 


 


B. If there is a change in demand, and no change in supply


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


B. If there is a change in supply, and no change in demand


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


a. A decrease in the equilibrium quantity (Q) and


b. An increase in the equilibrium price (P).


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

 


V. Disequilibrium Prices


(B 3-9)


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


3. Shortages and surpluses are being reduced.


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


C. Price floors (minimum legal prices)


1. Generally imposed to protect producers.


2. Examples are:


 


 


 


3. Result in surplus (QS raised, QD reduced)


4. Requires government scheme to buy up surplus


i. Expensive


(e.g. U.S. grain, European butter)


ii. Inefficient


 


iii. Causes international trade disputes


(US sugar quotas, US grain dumping)


(European Canola Oil)

 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


V. Elasticity


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


*****************************************************************

Elasticity of Demand


( B 5-1)


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


*****************************************************************

Degrees of Elasticity


 


 


El. of D = (% change in QD / % change in P) > 1


 


 


El of D = (% change in QD / % change in P) < 1


 


 


El of D = (% change in QD / % change in P) = 1

VIII. Time Frames for Supply


(B 5-4)


 


 


 


*****************************************************************

In microeconomics



 


 


 


 


 


 


a. or perfectly inelastic


 


 


 


 


 


a. Elasticity is a finite positive number


 


 


 


 


a. Supply is more elastic in the long run


*****************************************************************

In macroeconomics


 


 


 


 


 


i. Because profits rise as prices rise


 


i. Because profits do not rise as prices rise.


 


 


IX. Summary of the Lecture


Demand


The quantity demanded of a good or service is the amount that consumers will buy in a given period of time at a particular price. Demands are different from wants or needs. Wants are unlimited, whereas demands reflect decisions to satisfy specific wants. The quantity that consumers will buy of any good depends on:

1. The price of the good

2. The prices of related goods-substitutes and compliments

3. Income

4. Expected future prices and incomes

5. Population

6. Preferences


Other things being equal, the higher the price of a good, the smaller the quantity of that good demanded. The relationship between the quantity demanded and price, holding constant all other influences on consumers' planned purchases is illustrated by the demand schedule or the demand curve. A change in the price of a good produces a movement along a demand curve for that good. Such a movement is called a change in the quantity demanded.


Supply


The quantity supplied of a good or service is the amount that producers will sell in a given period of time at a particular price. The quantity that producers will sell of any good depends on:

1. The price of the good

2. The prices of factors of production

3. The prices of related goods

4. Expected future prices

5. The number of suppliers

6. Technology


Other things being equal, the higher the price of a good, the larger the quantity of that good supplied. The relationship between the quantity supplied and price, holding constant all other influences on sellers' planned sales is illustrated by the supply schedule or the supply curve. A change in the price of a good produces a movement along a supply curve for that good. Such a movement is called a change in the quantity supplied.


Changes in all other influences on selling plans are said to change supply. When supply changes, there is a new supply schedule and the supply curve shifts. Where there is an increase in supply, the supply curve shifts to the right; when there is a decrease in supply, the supply curve shifts to the left.


Price Determination


In competitive markets, price regulates the quantities supplied and demanded. The higher the price, the greater is the quantity supplied and the smaller is the quantity demanded. At high prices, there is a surplus-an excess of the quantity supplied over the quantity demanded. At low prices, there is a shortage-an excess of the quantity demanded over the quantity supplied. There is one price, and only one price, at which the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied. That price is the equilibrium price. At that price, buyers have no incentive to offer a higher price and sellers have no incentive to sell at a lower price.


Predicting changes in price and quantity


Changes in demand and supply lead to changes in price and in the quantity bought and sold. An increase in demand leads to a rise in price and to an increase in quantity. A decrease in demand leads to a fall in price and to a decrease in quantity. An increase in supply leads to an increase in quantity and a decrease in price. A decrease in supply leads to an decrease in quantity and a increase in price. A simultaneous decrease in demand and supply increases the quantity bought and sold but can raise or lower the price. If the increase in demand is larger than the increase in supply, then the price will rise. if the increase in supply is larger than the increase in demand, then the price will fall.


Elasticity


Elasticity of demand is a measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good to a change in its price. The larger the elasticity, the greater is the responsiveness of the quantity demanded to a give change in price. When the percentage change in the quantity demanded is smaller than the percentage change in price, elasticity is between zero and one and demand is inelastic. When the percentage change in quantity demanded equals the percentage change in price, the elasticity is one and demand is unit elastic. When the percentage change in the quantity demanded is greater than the change in price, the elasticity is greater than one and demand is elastic.


Time frames of supply


We classify supply according to three different time frames: market, short-run and long run. the market period refers to the response to a price change when the quantity supplied is fixed. Short run supply refers to the response of sellers when they have had time to make some adjustments in production. Long run supply refers to the response of suppliers when they have had time to make all technically feasible adjustments.

Key terms


1. Change in demand


2. Change in supply


3. Change in quantity demanded


4. Change in quantity supplied


5. Complement (Hang bo tro)


6. Demand (Cau)


7. Demand curve


8. Demand schedule


9. Elastic Demand (Nhu cau co gian)


10. Elasticity of demand (Do co gian theo)


11. Elasticity of Supply


12. Equilibrium price (Gia)


13. Equilibrium quantity (Luong canh bang)


14. Excess demand (Du cau)


15. Excess supply (Du cung)


16. Inelastic Demand (Nhu cau kong co gian)


17. Inferior good (hang thu cap)


18. Normal good (Hang binh thuong [chin pham])


19. Perfectly elastic demand


20. Perfectly inelastic Demand


21. Price ceiling (Tran gia)


22. Price floor (San gia)


23. Quantity demanded (QD) (Luong cau)


24. Quantity supplied (QS) (Luong cung)


25. Shortage (thieu hut hang)


26. Substitute (Hang thay the)


27. Supply (cung)


28. Supply curve


29. Supply schedule


30. Surplus (du thua hang)


31. Unit elastic Demand (co gian mot don vi)


32. Wants



Questions for Discussion


Macroeconomics


September 30, 1994



Questions based on lecture 3


1. Why is the price at which the quantity demanded (QD) equal to the quantity supplied (QS) called the "equilibrium price"? Is this a better price than a "disequilibrium" price?


2. Would a doubling of per capita incomes in Hanoi cause an large increase in the demand for bicycles?


3. There has been a disastrous drought in Brazil, could that cause a decrease in the supply of coffee in Brazil?


4. As a result of the drought in Brazil, world coffee prices are increasing rapidly. Would a doubling of the world price of coffee prices be likely to increase the supply of coffee in Viet Nam?


5. Are Vietnamese cotton farmers as responsive to increases in the price of cotton as Vietnamese rice farmers are responsive to increases in the price of rice? How would you go about answering that question?


6. What would happen to the price of beer in Viet Nam if the wages of brewery workers in HMC were doubled?


7. What would happen in Viet Nam if the government set the maximum price for a can of beer at 1,000 dong?


8. What would happen in Viet Nam if the government set a minimum price for a can of beer at 100,000 dong?


9. If the number of automobiles in Viet Nam increases by 500% in the next five years, which prices would be likely to rise and which prices are likely to fall (compared to the average price level)?


10. During the recent World Cup football matches held in the United States, tickets were sold for $100 each. That was far below the equilibrium price. Did the American football fans get more than they really paid for?




Macroeconomics


September 30, 1994



Problem based on lecture 3



1. Use the fictional data in the table below to graph the supply and demand curves using the conventions of economics. (Be sure to label the axes of the graph.)


Price (dong) QD (per month) QS (per month)


0 400 0

30,000 340 60

50,000 300 100

80,000 240 160

100,000 200 200

130,000 140 260

160,000 80 320

190,000 20 380











________________________





2. What is the equilibrium price? ____________


3. What is the equilibrium quantity? ____________


4. At what price will there be a shortage of 280? _____________


5. How large will the surplus be if the price is 190,000 dong? ____________


6. What will happen to the equilibrium quantity if both the supply and the demand increases? _________________________


7. What will happen to the equilibrium price if the supply decreases and the demand increases? _________________________