Writings of Brian Arthur on Complexity



(W. Brian Arthur is the Morrison Professor of Population Studies and Economics. Department of Economics, Stanford University.)

A. Positive Feedback in Economic Theory

Arthur, W. Brian, "Self-Reinforcing Mechanisms in Economics", in Anderson, Philip, Kenneth J. Arrow and David Pines, eds. The Economy as an Evolving Complex System. Santa Fe Institute Studies in the Sciences of Complexity, vol. 5, Redwood City California, Addison Wesley, 1988. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian, "Positive Feedbacks in the Economy", Scientific American, February, 1990, pp. 92-99. (ABS-AW, Modified by DEH)

Arthur, W. Brian, et. al., Emergent Structures: A Newsletter of the Economics Research Program (March 1989 and August 1990). Santa Fe Institute. (NIL)

B. Path Dependence in Economic Theory

Arthur, Brian, "Competing Technologies and Lock-in by Historical Events: The Dynamics of Allocation Under Increasing Returns" IIASA Paper WR, 83-90, Laxenburg, Austria (NIL)

Arthur, W. B., Y. Ermoliev and Y. M. Kaniovski, "Path Dependent Processes and the Emergence of Macro-Structure", 1987, European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 30, pp. 294-303. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian, "Competing Technologies: An Overview" in Dosi G, C. Freeman R. Nelson, G. Silverberg and L. Soete (eds.), Technical Change and Economic Theory, Pinter, London, 1988. (Checked out)

Arthur, W. Brian, "Competing Technologies, Increasing Returns, and Lock-In by Historical Events". Economic Journal, March 1989, Vol. 99, No. 394, pp. 116-131. (ABS-AW))

Arthur, W. B, "Industry Location and the Importance of History", Mathematical Social Sciences, Vol. 19, 1990, pp. 235-251. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian, "Urban Systems and Historical Path Dependence in the Economy', Chapter 6 in Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Arthur by W. Brian, University of Michigan Press, 1994, pp. 99-110. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian and Andrzej Ruszczynski, "Strategic Pricing in Markets with Increasing Returns", Chapter 9 in Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Arthur by W. Brian, University of Michigan Press, 1994, pp. 159-184. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian, Yuri M. Ermoliev and Yuri M. Kaniovski, "Strong Laws for a Class of Path Dependent Stochastic Processes", Chapter 10 in Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Arthur by W. Brian, University of Michigan Press, 1994, pp. 185-201. (ABS-AW)


B. Bounded Rationality in Economic Theory

Arthur, W. Brian, "Nash-Discovering Automata for Finite-Action Games", Mimeo, Santa Fe Institute, 1989. (NIL)

Arthur, W. Brian,"A Learning Algorithm that Mimics Human Learning", Santa Fe Institute Working Paper 90-026, 1990. (NIL)

(M)Arthur, W. Brian, "Learning and Adaptive Economic Behavior. Designing Economic Agents that Act Like Human Agents: A Behavioral Approach to Bounded Rationality", American Economic Review, Vol. 81, No. 2, May 1991, pp. 353-359. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian,"On Learning and Adaptation in the Economy", Santa Fe Institute Working Paper 92-07-038, 1992. (NIL)

Arthur, W. Brian, ". On Designing Economic Agents that Behave like Human Agents:", Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Feb 1993, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 1-22. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. B. and D. Lane. "Information Contagion." Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Vol. 4, 1993, pp. 81-104. (NIL)

Arthur, W. Brian, "Inductive Reasoning and Bounded Rationality", American Economic Review, May 1994, Vol. 84, No. 2, pp. 406-411. (ABS-AW)

Arthur, W. Brian and David Lane, "Information Contagion", Chapter 5 in Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Arthur by W. Brian, University of Michigan Press, 1994, pp. 70-97. (ABS-AW)